Anticipated, not addictive
A tiny tradition: six questions, two minutes, then back to your life. Predict Six is built to be looked forward to — not engineered to keep you scrolling.
The daily ritual
How it works
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01
Predict
Wake up to six engaging questions. Tap yes or no on each, read a little context if you want it — a quick way to start the day thinking.
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02
Results
Learn the outcomes and see how you did. Gold for every correct answer, and a clear look at where your judgement landed versus the community.
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03
Share
Celebrate the days you called it. Share your accuracy with friends, invite them to play, or start a group and see who reads the world best.
The data product
The Predict Six Index
Every Wednesday, we publish a transparent scorecard: community accuracy across the previous Sunday–Saturday week, broken out by category. The questions our users got most right. The ones we missed.
- Six categories. Sports, Markets, Politics, Culture, Technology, World — each scored independently so you can see where the crowd reads the world best.
- Open methodology. Raw majority. Voided questions excluded. Sample size and limitations stated up front. Built to be cited, not just consumed.
- Permanent archive. Every week gets a stable URL. Reporters can quote any past week confidently — methodology is locked once published.
The editorial
The Predict Six Blog
Each Saturday, Phil writes The Wrong Newsletter — a short, reflective post on the questions the crowd got wrong this week, and why. Less play-by-play, more thinking out loud. Five-minute reads, link-list of every resolution at the bottom for readers who want the full sweep.
- One post a week. The Wrong Newsletter leads with two or three of the week's biggest misses, where consensus disagreed with reality and what that revealed. Phil's voice — plainspoken, curious, occasionally self-deprecating.
- The data is still there. Every resolved question lands at its own permanent URL — Phil's nightly follow-ups walk through what actually happened, source-cited. The Newsletter's appendix links to every one from the week, so readers who want the full play-by-play are one click away.
- Permanent archive. Every post gets a stable URL. The reasoning, the data, the takeaways — preserved exactly as published, just like the Index.
The philosophy
Why Predict Six
Brief, satisfying, complete
Six questions. A defined open window. A clean resolution. Every interaction has a beginning, a middle, and an end. You put your phone down feeling better, not drained.
Clever, not cruel
Wit is welcome. Belittling is not. The questions and images have a voice — dry, curious, a little playful — but they don't punch down and they don't pick sides. Curiosity over conflict, every time.
The magic of six
Six just works
A number woven through the fabric of how the world counts itself.
How it sounds
Sample questions
Sports
Will Cal Raleigh finally dump a dinger this weekend?
Markets
Will the Fed hold rates at their next meeting?
Culture
Will this weekend's box office leader cross $40M?
Six categories
A balanced mix
- Sports
- Politics
- Markets
- Culture
- Technology
- World
The retention story
It gets better over time
Every prediction teaches you something. Predict Six tracks your accuracy by category, surfaces patterns in how you judge the world, and gives you a broader view of how everyone else is reading it too.
The social layer
… and with friends
Start a private group with friends. Everyone answers the same six questions, a shared leaderboard updates each evening, and you get to see how your read on the world stacks up against the rest of your circle.
