The Predict Six Index · Community accuracy, published every Wednesday

Six predictions. Every day.

Play with friends and feed your curiosity.

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On Android, or just want to try it? Play in your browser →

The main event

Every game starts with two

Pick your sharpest friend. You both answer the same six questions, the evening reveal crowns a daily winner, and a running rivalry record keeps the receipts.

Disagree on a question? Fire off a coin-stake challenge and settle it when the results land at 5 PM ET.

Start a game →
Head-to-head matchup screen: two players' avatars face off above their weekly scores, with coins staked on the week, a wins-losses-ties record, and the latest daily result

The daily ritual

How it works

  1. 01

    Predict

    Wake up to six engaging questions. Tap yes or no on each, read a little context if you want it — a quick way to start the day thinking.

    Today screen showing the six daily questions across categories
  2. 02

    Results

    Learn the outcomes and see how you did. Gold for every correct answer, coins for every call you get right, and a clear look at where your judgement landed versus the community. Play every day and your streak builds — it's the number your friends will chase.

    Results tab showing resolved predictions with correct answers and your picks
  3. 03

    Challenge

    Certain your friend has one wrong? Put coins on it. They can accept, counter to raise the stake, or back down — and the 5 PM ET results settle the bet. Winner takes the coins, and every duel feeds a running record against that rival.

    Challenges screen showing a pending coin-stake bet with accept, counter and decline options, above settled challenges and their payouts

How it sounds

Sample questions

Cal Raleigh batting at the plate
Sports

Will Cal Raleigh finally dump a dinger this weekend?

Federal Reserve building exterior
Markets

Will the Fed hold rates at their next meeting?

Crowded movie theater marquee at night
Culture

Will this weekend's box office leader cross $40M?

Six categories

A balanced mix

  • Sports
  • Politics
  • Markets
  • Culture
  • Technology
  • World

The retention story

It gets better over time

Every prediction teaches you something. Predict Six tracks your accuracy by category, surfaces patterns in how you judge the world, and gives you a broader view of how everyone else is reading it too.

myStats tab showing the Magic Ball accuracy percentage, your public leaderboard rank, a 30-day accuracy trend, and accuracy by category

From duels to dynasties

Groups & Teams

A duel becomes a group the moment a third friend joins — same six questions, one leaderboard, group chat, and challenges all around. Take it further: form a Team with its own crest and go head-to-head against other teams in weekly matchups, with a weekly MVP and team rankings on the line.

Groups tab showing a private group's weekly podium — the top three members standing on plinths with their scores — above the full member list

The philosophy

Why Predict Six

Anticipated, not addictive

A tiny tradition: six questions, two minutes, then back to your life. Predict Six is built to be looked forward to — not engineered to keep you scrolling.

Brief, satisfying, complete

Six questions. A defined open window. A clean resolution. Every interaction has a beginning, a middle, and an end. You put your phone down feeling better, not drained.

Clever, not cruel

Wit is welcome. Belittling is not. The questions and images have a voice — dry, curious, a little playful — but they don't punch down and they don't pick sides. Curiosity over conflict, every time.

The data product

The Predict Six Index

Every Wednesday, we publish a transparent scorecard: community accuracy across the previous Sunday–Saturday week, broken out by category. The questions our users got most right. The ones we missed.

  • Six categories. Sports, Markets, Politics, Culture, Technology, World — each scored independently so you can see where the crowd reads the world best.
  • Open methodology. Raw majority. Voided questions excluded. Sample size and limitations stated up front. Built to be cited, not just consumed.
  • Permanent archive. Every week gets a stable URL. Reporters can quote any past week confidently — methodology is locked once published.
See the Index → Methodology

The editorial

The Predict Six Blog

Each Saturday, Phil writes The Wrong Newsletter — a short, reflective post on the questions the crowd got wrong this week, and why. Less play-by-play, more thinking out loud. Five-minute reads, link-list of every resolution at the bottom for readers who want the full sweep.

  • One post a week. The Wrong Newsletter leads with two or three of the week's biggest misses, where consensus disagreed with reality and what that revealed. Phil's voice — plainspoken, curious, occasionally self-deprecating.
  • The data is still there. Every resolved question lands at its own permanent URL — Phil's nightly follow-ups walk through what actually happened, source-cited. The Newsletter's appendix links to every one from the week, so readers who want the full play-by-play are one click away.
  • Permanent archive. Every post gets a stable URL. The reasoning, the data, the takeaways — preserved exactly as published, just like the Index.
Read the Blog → About Phil

The magic of six

Six just works

A number woven through the fabric of how the world counts itself.