Week of May 3, 2026 — May 9, 2026

75%

community accuracy on 24 of 32 resolved questions

By category

🏈
Sports
83%
10 of 12
💰
Markets
50%
2 of 4
🏛
Politics
100%
1 of 1
🎬
Culture
89%
8 of 9
💻
Technology
100%
1 of 1
🌍
World
40%
2 of 5

Questions that mattered

🏈 Sports Biggest miss

"Will the Caitlin Clark-led Indy Fever win their opening game at home against Dallas next Saturday?"

8% community accuracy 38 votes Outcome: No
🏛 Politics Biggest hit

"Will at least 1 of the 7 targeted Indiana R's lose their primary on Tues, May 5? 1st big midterm test!"

94% community accuracy 34 votes Outcome: Yes
🎬 Culture Most-predicted

"Will Trump appear on Joe Rogan’s show before Cinco de Mayo? Joe’s been pissed about Iran but happy about psychedelics!"

92% community accuracy 47 votes Outcome: No

This week's index reflects 32 questions and 1,204 community votes. Read the methodology →