Will Ty Masterson take more than 50% of the vote in Kansas's Republican primary for governor on August 4?
50% of users predicted YES — the community missed this one. 2 predictions cast.
Kansas Senate President Ty Masterson won the state's Republican gubernatorial primary on Aug. 4, 2026, but did not take a majority of the vote. In a crowded seven-candidate field, Masterson led with roughly 43% of the vote, well ahead of businessman Phil Sarnecki (about 22%), Insurance Commissioner Vicki Schmidt (about 14%) and Secretary of State Scott Schwab (about 11%), but short of the 50% mark.
Masterson, who was endorsed by President Donald Trump, won the nomination despite the field being split among several rivals, a dynamic that kept any single candidate from consolidating a majority. He advances to face Democratic nominee Cindy Holscher in November to succeed term-limited Gov. Laura Kelly, in a race Republicans see as a top pickup opportunity.
Predict Six's community was evenly split at 50% on whether Masterson would exceed 50% of the primary vote, but the sample was only two votes. The actual result, a plurality win in the low 40s, resolved the question No.