Will AAA's national average for regular gas, now $4.10, top $4.15 a gallon by Aug 5?

AAA's national average price for regular gasoline stood at $4.08 a gallon on August 5, 2026, falling short of the $4.15 threshold the question asked about. That figure was up sharply from $3.80 a month earlier on July 6, a roughly 7.5% increase, but the rally cooled before crossing $4.15. Regional prices ranged widely, from $5.64 a gallon in California to $3.57 in Indiana.

Prices had climbed through July on rising crude costs and tight refinery supply heading into peak summer driving season, prompting AAA to flag the string of weekly increases in its newsroom updates. By early August, crude oil eased into the $70-per-barrel range, which took pressure off pump prices and kept the national average just under the $4.15 mark referenced in the question.

The community leaned toward "yes," with 74% of predictors expecting the average to top $4.15 by August 5, but the price stalled below that level instead. This makes the community's prediction on this question incorrect relative to the actual outcome.