Will another longshot of at least 10:1 odds win the Preakness on May 16? KY Derby winner was 23:1!
84% of users predicted NO — the community got this one right. 32 predictions cast.
Napoleon Solo won the 2026 Preakness Stakes at Laurel Park on May 16, ridden by jockey Paco Lopez and trained by Chad Summers. The colt crossed the wire 1¼ lengths ahead of Iron Honor, with Chip Honcho third. However, Napoleon Solo’s final tote odds at post time came in at approximately 7-8/1 — a $2 win ticket returned $17.80 — falling short of the 10/1 threshold the question required.
Although Napoleon Solo carried a 10/1 morning-line price heading into race day, late wagering compressed those odds meaningfully before the gates opened. The question’s premise was set against the backdrop of the Kentucky Derby winner going off at 23/1; no Preakness runner matched that level of longshot status.
The 2026 renewal was also notable as the first Preakness run at Laurel Park while Pimlico undergoes a major renovation, shifting the Triple Crown’s second leg to a different Maryland venue for the first time in the race’s modern history. The community predicted NO at 84% — correctly reading that a repeat extreme-longshot outcome was unlikely — and that consensus proved accurate when the favorite-range horses dominated the board.