The U.S. destroyed three Iranian oil tankers Sept 5. Will American forces hit another Iranian vessel before Sept 12?
69% of users predicted YES — the community got this one right. 13 predictions cast.
U.S. forces destroyed five more Iranian oil tankers on September 8, 2026, in addition to three tankers already destroyed on September 5, after Iran's Revolutionary Guard fired ballistic missiles at a U.S. aircraft carrier and destroyer in the Gulf. Iran retaliated on September 9 by launching roughly 20 ballistic missiles at a U.S.-linked air base in Jordan, which Jordanian air defenses mostly intercepted, and by attacking ten ships, including two U.S. vessels and eight oil tankers, near the Strait of Hormuz.
The strikes were part of an escalating retaliation cycle: the U.S. destroyed tankers in response to Iranian missile attacks on American warships, and Iran struck Jordan and shipping in direct retaliation for the tanker strikes, continuing a monthslong exchange across the Gulf region.
The prediction-market community had put 69% odds on the U.S. hitting another Iranian vessel before September 12, and the majority view proved correct. Multiple mainstream outlets independently confirmed the same sequence of tanker strikes and retaliatory attacks, describing it as among the most significant escalations in the ongoing U.S.-Iran confrontation.