Here we go again. Trump threatens 'big hit' if no deal with Iran soon. Will bombing resume by 6/1?

The United States military conducted fresh strikes against Iranian missile launch sites and naval vessels near the Strait of Hormuz on May 25, 2026, resuming active military operations against Iran amid a nominal ceasefire that had been in place since early April. U.S. Central Command described the action as "self-defense strikes," saying targeted Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps boats and missile positions posed a direct threat in the Hormuz region.

The immediate trigger was what two U.S. officials described as roughly 24 hours of IRGC missile, drone, and small-boat launches near the strait. Iran's Foreign Ministry accused the United States of violating the ceasefire and warned it would "leave no act of aggression unanswered"; the IRGC said it considered its right to retaliate "legitimate and certain."

The renewed strikes came shortly after a diplomatic pause: on May 19, Trump had announced he postponed a planned military action following appeals from Gulf states including Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates. Ongoing negotiations to formalize the ceasefire had stalled over disputes about Iran's nuclear program and sanction terms, with both sides signaling they were close to a settlement even as the shooting resumed.

Only 31 percent of the Predict Six community predicted the bombing would resume — a notable miss.