Bitcoin is down to about $77,000 with a Fed rate decision due Sept 16. Will BTC close below $75,000 by Sept 18?
65% of users predicted YES — the community missed this one. 17 predictions cast.
Bitcoin did not close below $75,000 by September 18, 2026, instead holding above $76,000 even after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates on September 16. The Fed lifted its target range by 25 basis points to 3.75%-4%, its first increase since 2023, a move markets had priced in with high confidence beforehand, according to CNBC. Bitcoin absorbed the hawkish decision without a sharp selloff: by September 17-18 it traded near $76,000-$76,600, even as U.S. equity indexes fell and Treasury yields rose in the same window, Benzinga reported. The Fed's updated projections showed a median federal funds rate estimate of 4.1% for the end of 2026, implying policymakers expected at least one more increase before year's end, a signal that had been expected to weigh further on risk assets including cryptocurrency. Despite that overhang, and despite bitcoin trading near $77,000 with rate-hike anxiety weighing on the market in the preceding week, the currency held above the $75,000 level that had become a focal point for traders. The Predict Six community had leaned heavily toward a drop below $75,000, with 65% forecasting yes, making this one of the larger community misses in this batch of resolutions. Bitcoin's resilience through the hike reflected broader stabilization after weeks of volatility tied to Fed policy uncertainty.