July 22, 2026

2 resolutions on this day.

๐Ÿ’ฐ Markets Resolved YES

Big Tech results start next week. Will Alphabet beat on both revenue & earnings?

75% of users predicted YES โ€” community got this one right.

Alphabet reported second-quarter 2026 earnings on July 22, beating Wall Street estimates on both revenue and profit. Revenue reached $119.8 billion, up 24% year over year and above the $116.93 billion analysts had projected. Google Cloud revenue grew 82% to $24.8 billion as enterprise demand for AI infrastructure continued to accelerate, with cloud operating income rising to $8.8 billion from $2.8 billion a year earlier.

Google Services revenue rose 15% to $94.5 billion, with Search and other advertising revenue up 17% to $63.3 billion and YouTube ad revenue up 13% to $11.1 billion. Net income also topped analyst forecasts for the quarter.

Despite the across-the-board beat, Alphabet shares fell in after-hours trading after the company raised its 2026 capital expenditure guidance to as much as $205 billion, above prior estimates, as investors weighed the cost of continued AI infrastructure buildout against near-term margins.

The question resolved YES: Alphabet beat on both revenue and earnings. The Predict Six community correctly anticipated this outcome, with 75% wagering yes ahead of the report, reflecting confidence in Alphabet's cloud and AI-driven growth heading into earnings season.

๐ŸŒ World Resolved NO

Will Mamdani order the arrest of Netanyahu before the end of July? For real, he's considering!!

85% of users predicted NO โ€” community got this one right.

New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani said on July 22, 2026, that his administration lacks the legal authority to arrest Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, despite a 2024 International Criminal Court warrant accusing Netanyahu of war crimes in Gaza. In a video statement, Mamdani said the city's Law Department reviewed whether the NYPD could detain Netanyahu during an expected September visit and concluded New York does not have "independent legal authority" to enforce the ICC warrant.

Mamdani had suggested during his mayoral campaign that his administration would act on the warrant if Netanyahu came to the city. The legal review found that authority over ICC warrants rests with the federal government, not municipal police. Mamdani called on the federal government to execute the warrant, describing Netanyahu as a "war criminal," though he did not order or attempt any arrest.

The question resolved NO: Mamdani did not order Netanyahu's arrest before the end of July. The Predict Six community anticipated this outcome, with only 15% wagering yes, reflecting widespread understanding that a city government cannot unilaterally enforce an international arrest warrant against a foreign head of state.