July 12, 2026

Pending review.

England defeated Norway 2-1 in extra time to reach the World Cup semifinals for the first time since 2018, in a quarterfinal played in Miami on Saturday, July 11, 2026. Norway's Andreas Schjelderup opened the scoring, but Jude Bellingham equalized before halftime and then scored the winning goal in the third minute of extra time -- both of England's goals. Norway also had what would have been a second goal disallowed after a VAR review for a foul in the buildup involving Erling Haaland.

Norway entered the match off a run that included eliminating Brazil in the previous round, a match in which Haaland scored twice, fueling the "surging Norway" framing ahead of the England match. England's comeback, powered by Bellingham's two-goal performance, ended that run and sent England through to the semifinals.

The Predict Six community leaned toward a Norway win, with 58 percent predicting yes, but the outcome resolved no as England came from behind to win in extra time.

Pending review.

"The Invite," an A24 comedy directed by and starring Olivia Wilde alongside Seth Rogen, Penelope Cruz and Edward Norton, expanded to 1,610 locations nationwide on the weekend of July 10-12, 2026, in its third week of release. The wide expansion grossed just over $5.7 million for the weekend, bringing its cumulative domestic total to $7.38 million, and landed at No. 6 on the domestic box office chart. Both figures fell short of the $10 million weekend threshold in question.

The film had opened three weeks earlier in a limited release of seven screens in New York and Los Angeles, grossing $379,000 for one of the year's strongest per-screen averages, with sold-out shows and enthusiastic word of mouth. Despite that limited-release buzz and a 96 percent Rotten Tomatoes score, the wider nationwide rollout did not translate into blockbuster-scale numbers, a common pattern for specialty titles that expand beyond initial arthouse audiences.

The Predict Six community leaned toward the film clearing $10 million, with 69 percent predicting yes. The outcome resolved no -- the strong limited-release reception did not scale into a top-tier nationwide opening weekend.

Lionel Messi did not score in Argentina's World Cup quarterfinal against Switzerland on Saturday, July 11, snapping a run of scoring in his previous appearances at the tournament. Messi provided an early assist -- Alexis Mac Allister headed home his corner in the 10th minute -- but did not add a goal himself as Argentina won 3-1 in extra time, with Julian Alvarez (112th minute) and Lautaro Martinez (120+1) also scoring. Switzerland's Ndoye had equalized in the 67th minute before Argentina pulled away.

Entering the match, Messi and Kylian Mbappe were tied for the tournament's goal-scoring lead at eight apiece, with Mbappe holding the tiebreaker on assists after scoring three days earlier in France's quarterfinal win over Morocco. Because Messi was held scoreless against Switzerland, he did not move ahead of Mbappe in the Golden Boot race.

Argentina advanced to face England in the semifinal.

The Predict Six community strongly expected Messi to score again and take the Golden Boot lead outright, with 94 percent predicting yes. The outcome resolved no, one of the larger gaps between community expectation and result among this week's questions.

Jannik Sinner defeated Alexander Zverev 6-7(7), 7-6(2), 6-3, 6-4 in the Wimbledon 2026 men's singles final on Sunday, July 12, successfully defending the title he won in 2025. Zverev took the opening set in a tiebreak, 9-7, but Sinner leveled by winning the second-set tiebreak and pulled away over the final two sets to close out the match in three hours and 46 minutes.

The win was Sinner's fifth Grand Slam title and came with a champion's check of £3.6 million. It also denied Zverev, playing in his first Wimbledon final, a chance to become the first man in the Open Era to follow a maiden major title with another at the very next Grand Slam. Sinner reached the final by beating Novak Djokovic in the semifinals, a result some outlets framed as revenge for an earlier Grand Slam loss to the veteran.

The matchup came about six weeks after Sinner's shock second-round exit at the French Open, where he lost to No. 56 Juan Manuel Cerundolo after cramping while leading two sets and a break.

The Predict Six community correctly forecast this result, with 90 percent predicting a Sinner win over Zverev before the final was played.

Jannik Sinner won the 2026 Wimbledon men's singles title, defeating Alexander Zverev 6-7(7), 7-6(2), 6-3, 6-4 in Sunday's final, successfully defending the crown he won in 2025. The victory came about six weeks after a stunning early exit at the French Open, where the world No. 1 was eliminated in the second round by No. 56 Juan Manuel Cerundolo, a 32-1 underdog. Sinner had led that match 6-3, 6-2, 5-1 before cramping in the Paris heat and losing 3-6, 2-6, 7-5, 6-1, 6-1, making him the first top men's seed in more than 25 years to fail to reach the third round at Roland Garros.

At Wimbledon, Sinner reversed his fortunes, beating Novak Djokovic in the semifinals before outlasting first-time finalist Zverev in a three-hour, 46-minute final. The win was his fifth Grand Slam title and came with a champion's check of £3.6 million, and it denied Zverev's bid to become the first man in the Open Era to follow a maiden major title with another at the very next Grand Slam event.

The Predict Six community was closely split heading into the tournament, with only 46 percent predicting Sinner would bounce back to win Wimbledon after the French Open collapse. The outcome resolved yes.